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(National Interest) Lawrence J. Haas - As President Trump explores a nuclear deal with Iran, he would be wise to recognize that Tehran probably comes to the negotiating table less because it fears Washington than because it smells opportunity. That is, the talks could pave the way for Tehran to free itself from the threat of "snap-back" global sanctions this fall while strengthening the regime at home at a time of rising public discontent. Under Resolution 2231, the UN Secretary Council has only until October to decide whether to impose "snap-back" sanctions against Iran for violating the 2015 deal. And while any party to that agreement -- the five permanent Security Council members plus Germany -- can trigger the snap-back mechanism, America's withdrawal from the deal raises the question of whether it retains the power to do so. With those dynamics in mind, U.S. negotiators should set a firm deadline of no more than a few weeks to strike a deal that truly serves U.S. interests -- lest they let Iranian negotiators drag out the talks, enabling Tehran to advance its nuclear program further while freeing itself from the threat of economic retaliation. 2025-05-04 00:00:00Full Article
Why Iran Will Not Come to a Deal Quickly
(National Interest) Lawrence J. Haas - As President Trump explores a nuclear deal with Iran, he would be wise to recognize that Tehran probably comes to the negotiating table less because it fears Washington than because it smells opportunity. That is, the talks could pave the way for Tehran to free itself from the threat of "snap-back" global sanctions this fall while strengthening the regime at home at a time of rising public discontent. Under Resolution 2231, the UN Secretary Council has only until October to decide whether to impose "snap-back" sanctions against Iran for violating the 2015 deal. And while any party to that agreement -- the five permanent Security Council members plus Germany -- can trigger the snap-back mechanism, America's withdrawal from the deal raises the question of whether it retains the power to do so. With those dynamics in mind, U.S. negotiators should set a firm deadline of no more than a few weeks to strike a deal that truly serves U.S. interests -- lest they let Iranian negotiators drag out the talks, enabling Tehran to advance its nuclear program further while freeing itself from the threat of economic retaliation. 2025-05-04 00:00:00Full Article
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