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Progress on the Nuclear Deal: How Should Israel Act?

(Institute for National Security Studies-Tel Aviv University) Col. (res.) Eldad Shavit and Sima Shine - Both the Iranians and the Americans are taking steps to prepare public opinion for the renewal of the Iran nuclear deal. So far, no official details have been provided about the content of the agreement, and most of whatever information there is comes from leaks by Iranian sources. The essence of the agreement is that the U.S. will remove the sanctions reimposed on Iran after the Trump administration withdrew from the agreement. As a result, Iran will resume oil exports, will be able to receive the large sums of money frozen in the countries that purchased oil and could not transfer the payments through the banking system, and will be able to enjoy free trade and economic cooperation. Most of Israel's attention should be directed to the portions of the nuclear program in which Iran has advanced in recent years. This applies to the removal of fissile material outside the borders of Iran, and the operation of new centrifuges that will remain on its territory. The main efforts for Israel at this stage should be focused on formulating a common position for the two countries the day after the two possible scenarios: the realization of an agreement or, alternatively, its collapse. Col. (res.) Eldad Shavit, a senior researcher at INSS, previously served in senior roles in Israeli Defense Intelligence and the Mossad. Sima Shine, formerly responsible for the Iranian file at Israel's Ministry of Strategic Affairs (2009-2015), was also head of research at the Mossad.
2022-08-25 00:00:00
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