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A Security Threat Assessment

(IsraelDefense) Amir Rapaport - On Passover, April 6, the heaviest rocket barrage since the 2006 Second Lebanon War was launched from Lebanon towards Israeli territory, attributed to Hamas. Hamas wouldn't have been able to build a rocket force in southern Lebanon without Hizbullah's approval. Hizbullah was established by Iran, mostly as a force intended to cause Israel massive damage in case the Iranian nuclear facilities are attacked. Iran is seeking to break through in its nuclear program, until it is a mere two weeks away from having enough enriched uranium to build its first nuclear bomb. Manufacturing the actual bomb will still take a year or two. Either way, it seems that the Iranian bomb can no longer be avoided. Is Israel headed to a multi-front war with Hamas in Gaza and with Hizbullah from Lebanon, parallel to terror attacks from the West Bank and perhaps even attacks from Iran and the involvement of Israel's Arab population in attacks and riots? This nightmare scenario is still far from realization. The vast majority of Israel's Arab citizens have stayed out of the events. In the West Bank, the general public has not joined the violence as it did during the two Intifadas. At the same time, the possibility of a major round of fighting with Hamas and Hizbullah simultaneously could materialize. The writer, former chief military commentator for Ma'ariv and chief military correspondent for Yedioth Ahronot, is editor-in-chief of IsraelDefense Magazine.
2023-04-17 00:00:00
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