Will Israel Destroy Russian Missiles?

(Ynet News) Ron Ben-Yishai - Iran and Syria want to intensify and hasten the arming of Hizbullah. Tehran apparently believes the West's patience is running out and that by the end of 2013, Washington or Jerusalem - or both - will decide on a military strike against Iran's nuclear facilities. The Iranians want to deter Israel and the West from making such a decision by threats of mass casualties and devastation in the Israeli home front. Particularly important for the Iranians is Hizbullah's arsenal, deployed in the heart of a supportive population in south Lebanon. Israel apparently has no intention of allowing Khamenei and Assad to intensify the threat already posed to the Israeli home front, and it does not plan on allowing Hizbullah to diminish the IDF's ability to quickly neutralize this threat if needed. This "red line" has reportedly been implemented by Israel three times as of late. The West estimates Israel will be forced to attack additional arms shipments making their way from Iran to Hizbullah via Syria, and that Assad would have to respond. Yet if the Syrian army fires missiles toward Israel's home front, Israel will destroy most of the Assad regime's military assets, and other assets, which are crucial for its continued survival. It is safe to assume that Syria and Hizbullah will not rush to act against Israel in the Golan Heights or along the Lebanese border, mainly because Iran has an interest in keeping Hizbullah and Syria's rocket arsenals ready for action to deter Israel and the U.S. from attacking its nuclear facilities. Therefore, Iran will advise Assad to act with restraint, for now, even if Israel strikes Hizbullah-bound arms convoys.

2013-05-20 00:00:00

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