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Can the Iran Nuclear Deal Survive as the IAEA Investigates Israeli Allegations?
(Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists) Emma Scott and Ian J. Stewart - Israel has shared some or all of the secret Iranian nuclear files it seized with officials of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). In order for the IAEA to develop a "broader conclusion" that all nuclear material in Iran remains in peaceful activities, officials are investigating Israel's materials and conducting the necessary site visits. Given the skepticism with which many view the nature of Iran's nuclear objectives, it looks increasingly untenable that the IAEA could reach a broader conclusion seen as credible by all. This has profound implications for the future of the nuclear accord with Iran. Absent a credible broader conclusion, it's hard to imagine that in four years the parties to the accord would allow its automatic easing of nuclear restrictions to proceed.