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Ex-IDF Intelligence Chief: Keep Eye on Iran to Prevent Nuclear Cheating
(Jerusalem Post) Yonah Jeremy Bob - Preventing Iran from cheating on the nuclear deal depends on obtaining the right intelligence, former IDF Military Intelligence chief Maj.-Gen. (res.) Amos Yadlin, currently director of the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) in Tel Aviv, said in an interview. "If your sources are good, you can be 90% or even 100% sure of how many missiles there are, what their range is, the weight of the warheads, how many centrifuges there are, how much enriched uranium there is - the heads of intelligence can tell their political masters: This is what the adversary has." Intentions - "what they would do with nuclear weapons, how they would react to an Israeli attack" - are much harder to estimate, Yadlin said. "By definition, you must be much more humble as you are dealing with 'prophecy' and not just technical intelligence." Yadlin does not believe that the Russian S-300 air defense system in Iran would make an Israeli strike against its nuclear facilities impossible. The S-300 would make any attack "more complicated, but [it is] not a game-changer. There is no anti-aircraft weapon that cannot be attacked," though he admitted Israel might need to dedicate more aircraft to an attack as it might lose more craft in an attack in the process of taking out the S-300.