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Source: http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/display.cfm?pubID=629
Getting Ready for a Nuclear Iran
(Strategic Studies Institute-U.S. Army War College) Henry D. Sokolski and Patrick Clawson - As Iran edges closer to acquiring a nuclear bomb and its missiles extend an ever darker diplomatic shadow over the Middle East and Europe, Iran is likely to pose three threats. First, Iran could dramatically up the price of oil by interfering with the free passage of vessels in and through the Persian Gulf as it did during the 1980s or by threatening to use terrorist proxies to target other states' oil facilities. Second, it could increase the pace and scope of terrorist activities against Iraq, Saudi Arabia, other Gulf states, Israel, and other perceived supporters of the U.S. Finally, it could become a nuclear proliferation model for its neighbors.