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Source: http://thehill.com/opinion/columnists/mark-mellman/62091-the-jews-and-the-democrats
Support for Israel Makes a Difference to Jewish Voters
[The Hill] Mark Mellman - Support for Israel is a critical element of Jews' voting behavior. An experiment we embedded in a survey for the National Jewish Democratic Council provides the most telling evidence. For half of the sample we pitted a theoretical Republican candidate who had a "strong pro-Israel record" against a Democratic opponent who also had a "strong pro-Israel record." In the other half of the sample, the Democrat lacked the pro-Israel record. The pro-Israel Democrat won by a 45-point margin among Jewish voters, while the Democrat who was identical, except on Israel, eked out only a three-point win. Support for Israel alone created a massive 42-point swing in the margin, clear evidence of the centrality of Israel to Jewish voters.