DAILY ALERT
Sunday,
September 21, 2025
In-Depth Issues:

The World Sees Hope for a Two-State Solution. Israelis and Palestinians See None. - Anat Peled (Wall Street Journal)
    The expected recognition of a Palestinian state by France, the UK and several other Western countries is part of an effort to breathe life into a dying solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict: two states living side by side.
    On the ground, the two-state solution is more remote than ever.
    Polls, which in the 1990s and early 2000s consistently indicated majority support on both sides for two states, have in recent years shown that only a minority of Israelis and Palestinians support the idea - or think it is feasible in practice.
    Few Israelis or Palestinians think international announcements will do much to change that trajectory.



U.S. Moral Clarity on the Gaza War - Editorial (Telegraph-UK)
    It is hard to disagree with U.S. President Donald Trump that Palestinian statehood is a misstep while Hamas retains control of Gaza and professes its willingness and intent to destroy Israel.
    It is hard to disagree, either, with the moral clarity of the statement that the war cannot end until the hostages taken on Oct. 7, 2023, are returned.



Freed Israeli Hostage Naama Levy Details Gaza Captivity to UN - Linda Dayan (Ha'aretz)
    Naama Levy, one of the six IDF field spotters who were abducted to Gaza during the Oct. 7 attack, told an event held by the UN that she was kept in "unbearable sanitary conditions, with the constant fear that each moment could be my last."
    She "suffered severe malnutrition, indescribable hunger, and many untreated injuries."
    "There were periods of time when I was completely alone, secluded from any human interaction. In other instances, I was with other young women, some of whom were wounded severely and left untreated."
    She "had almost no food, barely any water, and no access to a toilet."
    "Being hidden above ground was horrid but there is nothing that can compare to the darkness and dread that the tunnels bring with them."
    Levy described the air in the tunnels as "empty of oxygen," saying that it "feels impossible to take a deep breath. And each time you try to, you choke from the lack of air."
    "You are led to a mattress, soaked with humidity; the smell of mold is everywhere and seeps deep into your lungs."



Freed American-Israeli Hostage Edan Alexander: I Will Return to Serve in the IDF - Yael Freidson (Ha'aretz)
    American-Israeli soldier Edan Alexander, who was taken hostage on Oct. 7 and held for 584 days, told Friends of the IDF in New York City on Thursday that he intends to return to Israel and continue his service in the Israeli army next month.
    "I will once again put on the IDF uniform, and I will proudly serve alongside my brothers. Serving in the IDF is one of the greatest honors of my life."
    "My story does not end with survival - it continues with service - until victory!"



Israeli Lasers and American Defense - Editorial (Wall Street Journal)
    Israel's Iron Beam laser air-defense system was declared operational Wednesday after final tests intercepting rockets, mortars and drones.
    It's an important advance as the West faces new, low-cost threats and a reminder of what strong defense relationships can achieve.
    The Iron Beam is said to burn or fry targets up to six miles away.
    Interceptions take seconds, and with a constant energy source, lasers don't run out of ammunition.
    Laser systems aren't a replacement for conventional air defenses. At present, they have trouble in low-visibility conditions, and electronic components of drones can be hardened to withstand their attacks at long range. Laser systems can, however, be a complement.
    Israel used a lower-powered version of Iron Beam in combat for the first time in November 2023, shooting down Hizbullah drones. In time, Iron Beam may go airborne and extend its range.
    The U.S. invested in the system, including $1.2 billion in April 2024.
    Each U.S. PAC-3 Patriot interceptor costs $3 million. Those add up and could run out against drone swarms in a prolonged war.
    The Houthis wore out American patience with $2,000 drones that had to be met by million-dollar naval interceptors.
    If U.S. military aid to Israel can chip away at that problem - in addition to rolling back the power of mutual adversary Iran - all the better.



U.S. Plans $6 Billion in New Arms Sales to Israel - Jared Malsin (Wall Street Journal)
    The Trump administration is seeking congressional approval to sell new weapons to Israel.
    They include 30 AH-64 Apache helicopters for $3.8 billion, that would nearly double Israel's current fleet, and 3,250 infantry assault vehicles for $1.9 billion.
    The weapons likely wouldn't be delivered for two to three years and would be paid for by U.S. foreign military financing.



90% of Pre-Oct. 7 Residents Have Returned to Gaza Border Area, Joined by 2,500 New Arrivals - Sue Surkes (Times of Israel)
    Over 2,500 Israelis have moved to Gaza border communities, bolstering the over 90% of residents living in the area before Oct. 7 who have since returned home, the Tekuma Directorate, the government agency responsible for rehabilitating the region, revealed Wednesday.
    Among the new arrivals were more than 50 families who signed up to live in the 13 communities that were worst affected by the attack.
    Residents of the five worst-affected communities are still in temporary accommodation, while their kibbutzim are being rehabilitated.



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News Resources - North America, Europe, and Asia:
  • U.S. Vetoes UN Security Council Resolution Demanding Immediate Gaza Ceasefire - Farnoush Amiri
    The U.S. vetoed a UN Security Council resolution Thursday that demanded an immediate and permanent ceasefire in Gaza and the release of hostages, saying that the effort did not go far enough in condemning Hamas. The 14 other members of the Security Council voted in favor of the resolution. (AP)
        See also U.S. Tells UN: "Israel Has Accepted Proposed Terms that Would End the War, but Hamas Continues to Reject Them"
    Morgan Ortagus, Deputy U.S. Special Envoy to the Middle East, told the UN Security Council on Thursday: "U.S. opposition to this resolution will come as no surprise. It fails to condemn Hamas or recognize Israel's right to defend itself and it wrongly legitimizes the false narratives benefiting Hamas, which have sadly found currency in this Council....The Council instead opted for a performative action - designed to draw a veto."
        "Let's recall that Hamas started this brutal conflict on Oct. 7, 2023, when it perpetrated the worst massacre and kidnapping of Jews since the Holocaust. To the approval of its supporters, who took to the streets on Oct. 8 to praise what Hamas had done, Hamas promises to repeat Oct. 7. Despite everything, Hamas has no regrets. The lives of Gaza's civilians in harm's way are mere tools in the project to destroy Israel."
        "We have seen the chilling videos and images of how Hamas has starved the hostages. In this Council we have heard heart-rending testimony from freed hostages of how Hamas brutalized and sexually assaulted them during their captivity. Hamas is responsible for starting and continuing this war. Israel has accepted proposed terms that would end the war, but Hamas continues to reject them. This war could end today if Hamas freed the hostages and laid down its arms."
        "The resolution seeks an 'immediate, unconditional, and permanent ceasefire' that would leave Hamas in a position to carry out future Oct. 7 attacks, as it has threatened to do so many times. This resolution draws a dangerous false equivalence between Israel and Hamas. There can be no equating the two. Full stop. The hostages in this resolution are a mere afterthought. The United States will never accept this."
        "This resolution also refuses to acknowledge and seeks to return to a failed system that has allowed Hamas to enrich and strengthen itself at the expense of civilians in need....Gaza has humanitarian needs because of Hamas, and because the international community turned a blind eye to the true use of the billions in aid that it provided....This resolution fails to recognize the reality on the ground that there has been a meaningful increase in the flow of humanitarian aid."  (U.S. Mission to the UN)
  • Europeans Say Iran Has Yet to Take Necessary Actions to Stop the "Snapback" of UN Sanctions - Jon Gambrell
    European officials told Iran on Wednesday it had yet to take the actions needed to stop the return of UN sanctions over its nuclear program, warning time was running out. The EU's top diplomat, Kaja Kallas, warned: "Iran must show credible steps towards addressing the demands of France, UK and Germany, and this means demonstrating full cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency and allowing inspections of all nuclear sites without delay."
        The German Foreign Ministry separately wrote on X that "Iran has yet to take the reasonable and precise actions necessary to" stop the reimposition of UN sanctions. The "snapback" of sanctions on Iran will take effect at the end of September unless the UN Security Council agrees to stop it. It will freeze Iranian assets abroad, halt arms deals with Tehran, and penalize any development of Iran's ballistic missile program. (AP)
        See also Iran Loses "Snap-Back" Vote in a Landslide - Editorial
    On Aug. 28 the European powers triggered the snap-back mechanism, starting a 30-day countdown to the reimposition of sanctions on Iran. As part of the countdown, a UN Security Council resolution had to be introduced proposing to save the sanctions relief. On Friday, the resolution failed in a 9-4 vote, with 2 abstentions. Only Algeria, China, Pakistan and Russia voted to shield Iran from the sanctions.
        Iranian intransigence had antagonized the rest. Tehran now has only a week left to make real concessions before Sept. 28 arrives. So far it doesn't seem interested. Last week, Iran's regime asked the Europeans to cancel the snap-back in exchange for mere promises ahead of negotiations.
        Iran also sought a U.S. guarantee that it would be allowed to extract its remaining stockpile of highly enriched uranium from under the rubble of its nuclear facilities. At present Iran can't easily extract the highly enriched uranium without risking another U.S. or Israeli strike.
        Iran has cheated for years on its Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty commitments and then lied, stonewalled and covered up evidence. Iran had time to negotiate and blew it off. (Wall Street Journal)
News Resources - Israel and the Mideast:
  • Four IDF Soldiers Killed in Gaza - Lilach Shoval
    Four soldiers from the IDF Officers School were killed Thursday in Gaza after the Humvee they were traveling in struck an explosive device in Rafah. Another soldier is in serious condition. (Israel Hayom)
  • Two Israeli Soldiers Murdered by Jordanian Driver of Gaza Aid Truck at Allenby Border Crossing
    Two Israeli soldiers were killed near Allenby Crossing with Jordan on Thursday by a Jordanian driving a humanitarian aid truck headed for Gaza. Upon arrival, he opened fire at soldiers at the crossing with a handgun, then got out of the truck and stabbed the two soldiers repeatedly until security guards killed him.
        The slain soldiers were Lt.-Col. (res.) Yitzhak Harosh, 68, a reservist in the Civil Administration, and Sgt. Oran Hershko, 20, a liaison officer with foreign forces. (Times of Israel)
  • Houthi Drone Hits Eilat; No Injuries - Ronit Zilberstein
    A Houthi drone from Yemen infiltrated Israeli airspace Thursday evening and crashed near the entrance to a hotel in Eilat. A fire broke out but there were no reports of injuries. (Israel Hayom)
Global Commentary and Think-Tank Analysis:

    The Gaza War

  • IDF Commandos Fighting Street to Street in Gaza - Paul Nuki
    The Haruv reconnaissance unit of the Kfir Infantry Brigade of the IDF specializes in counter-terrorism and undercover work. They are now supporting the first "probing phase" of ground operations in Gaza City, flushing out Hamas cells, booby traps and tunnels. The unit's commander, Major D., 29, tells the Telegraph, "We understand the mission and believe in it. We will do whatever it takes."
        The small quadcopter drones they carry are a "game-changer," says Major D., enabling them to "see everything" and avoid having to "put your head up." It's dangerous work. The unit has lost three men since the war started - "the best we have." Two died after triggering Hamas booby traps and the third in "face-to-face fighting" with Hamas gunmen.
        Major D. says that he and his men "do everything we can" to reduce civilian casualties. "We use tech and intelligence to make sure citizens leave. Even where they stay, we have [non-lethal] methods of getting them to leave."
        Sgt Y., 20, says, "We know we are capable of what we are asked and morale is high." He says the men believe they are fighting a "just war" but are conscious that much of the rest of the world no longer thinks so. "We are fighting not just with weapons but morals and ethics."  (Telegraph-UK)


  • Recognition of a Palestinian State

  • Why a Palestinian State Won't Happen Any Time Soon - Josef Joffe
    At the 80th UN General Assembly, three major players - Britain, France and Canada - are poised to recognize a make-believe state by the name of "Palestine." 147 UN members have already anointed Palestine, a state that never was and will not soon be.
        All Israeli offers of "two states for two nations" have ended up in the shredder. Bill Clinton labored hard at Camp David in 2000, only to see Yassir Arafat scurry off to launch yet another intifada, which claimed 1,100 Israeli lives. In 2005, Israel withdrew unilaterally from Gaza, hoping to trigger a virtuous cycle. Instead, it got Hamas, which turned the Strip into a missile base financed unwittingly by billions of dollars from the EU, the U.S. and the UN.
        Today, the two-state solution dwells in Neverland if we are to believe Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. In Israel, the national trauma of Oct. 7, when Hamas slaughtered 1,200 Jews, is too deeply rooted to favor risk-taking. Now, only 21% of Israelis favor two states. Such are the realities, a string of Arab opportunities missed and Israeli dreams shattered.
        Every time when the West imposed pressure on Israel, its enemies escalated the violence. This is an iron law. The remedy is not recognition as a free gift. The Palestinian Survey Center PCPSR reports that a huge majority of 77% does not want to disarm Hamas.
        The writer, a Distinguished Visiting Fellow at Stanford University, also taught International Politics at Harvard and Johns Hopkins.  (Jewish Chronicle-UK)
  • Palestine Recognition Would Reward Terrorism and Contradict International Law - Irwin Cotler and Orde Kittrie
    Canada's Foreign Affairs Minister Anita Anand said on Sep. 16 that Ottawa would recognize a Palestinian state at the UN despite its failure to implement any of the conditions and demands set forth in Prime Minister Mark Carney's July 30 announcement of Canada's recognition plan. This is a mistake, which would regrettably reward terrorism, make peace less likely, and contradict the longstanding international legal frameworks for recognizing statehood and for resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
        Carney said Ottawa's "intention" was "predicated on the Palestinian Authority's commitment" to fundamentally reform its governance, hold general elections "in which Hamas can play no part," and demilitarize the Palestinian state. None of these commitments have been implemented. Carney also demanded that Hamas immediately release all hostages, disarm, and "play no role in the future governance of Palestine." None of these demands have been met.
        The international legal criteria for statehood require that a nascent state have a) a permanent population; b) a defined territory; c) a government with effective control over that population and territory; and d) capacity to enter into relations with other states. The European Council (EC) added several non-binding criteria in its 1991 guidelines for recognizing new states in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union. These include prospective states providing their citizens "the rule of law, democracy, and human rights."
        One of us (Irwin Cotler) has personally met with PA President Mahmoud Abbas and his aides many times over the years. They have repeatedly promised that they would abolish the pay-for-slay program and move towards demilitarization and deradicalization. Regrettably, those promises have largely gone unfulfilled.
        Irwin Cotler is a former minister of justice and attorney general of Canada. Orde Kittrie is a law professor at Arizona State University and a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.  (National Post-Canada)
  • Europe's Reckless Recognition of Palestine - Paul McCarthy
    European governments plan to recognize a Palestinian state at the UN General Assembly. This is a betrayal of a key U.S. ally, a gift to terrorists, and a direct slap in the face to the U.S. By rewarding the butchers of Hamas, European leaders are legitimizing terror as a political strategy. It emboldens radicals, sidelines Israel's legitimate security concerns, and erases the progress of the Abraham Accords.
        These governments intend to confer legitimacy to the Palestinian Authority led by president-for-life Mahmoud Abbas, which has not held an election in nearly two decades and which openly funds "pay-for-slay" stipends to terrorists' families, refuses to renounce Hamas, and incites hatred against Jews.
        By undercutting Israel, Europe is showing Washington that it is more interested in mollifying its large domestic Muslim minorities at the UN than standing shoulder-to-shoulder with its allies against terror.
        Europe's rush to recognize an imaginary Palestinian state exposes the continent's failed globalist dogma that endless summits and hollow gestures can substitute for hard power and real security. European elites have learned nothing from the failures of the Oslo Accords or the repeated waves of Palestinian violence since the 1990s. They prefer moral preening to confronting the reality on the ground: Israel's survival is non-negotiable, and peace will never come through legitimizing extremist actors.
        Instead of encouraging Palestinians to renounce terror and reform and engage, Europe is telling them they can bypass compromise, pocket international recognition, and continue funding terrorism with impunity.
        The writer is Senior Research Fellow for European Affairs in the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom at the Heritage Foundation.  (RealClearWorld)
  • Questioning Unilateral Recognition of a Palestinian State
    British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has announced the intention to recognize a State of Palestine at the UN General Assembly in September. This study demonstrates how premature recognition undermines peace efforts. Recognition can pressure both Israelis and Palestinians into actions that make a peaceful settlement harder, not easier.
        Recognition will not create a Palestinian state nor advance the creation of one; rather, it will be the most significant diplomatic gain for the Palestinian cause in decades, universally understood as having been made possible by the Oct. 7 massacre.
        If the two-state solution is indeed the desired goal, then policies must encourage conditions that make this outcome more likely and discourage those that make it less likely. Recognition at this stage, or interventions which halt the war before Hamas is defeated, protect and strengthen Hamas and are therefore counterproductive.
        Recognition would take place in the context of already worsening UK-Israel relations and would further deteriorate ties between two countries that until recently considered themselves strategic partners. (BICOM-UK)
Observations:

  • Another Palestinian terror state in the hills of Judea and Samaria overlooking Israel's coastal plain would constitute a strategic threat to the State of Israel. Despite the devastating consequences of the Hamas massacre of Oct. 7, 50% of Palestinians still view Hamas's decision to launch that attack as "correct" - rising to 59% in the West Bank. 85% in the West Bank and 64% in Gaza oppose the disarmament of Hamas, rendering meaningless the Western precondition of demilitarization of a future Palestinian state.
  • Western leaders' recognition rests upon the assumption that the "moderate" Palestinian Authority will govern any future state. Yet for three decades, the PA has spread blood libels against Jews and Israelis, promoted the financial incentivization of terror, and is guilty of massive corruption. Today, PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas is in the 20th year of his 4-year term, Palestinian polls show that 81% of Palestinians want Abbas to resign, yet Western leaders plan to empower his illegitimate government with statehood.
  • Other than Ramallah, Abbas and his security forces do not even exert political control over the cities under the PA's formal jurisdiction. Instead, Iran's Hamas and Islamic Jihad proxy militias dominate PA cities and towns. If the PA cannot maintain order in cities under its supposed control, it would be hard-pressed to secure a sovereign state.
  • Demilitarization agreements offer no solution. Oct. 7 was carried out with simple weapons - AK-47s, RPGs, and improvised explosives - that cannot be effectively monitored.
  • The historical record demonstrates that international recognition of Palestinian statehood has consistently rewarded and encouraged terrorism rather than promoting peace. Following Arafat's 1988 PLO unilateral declaration of independence in Algiers, which was recognized by 78 countries, Palestinian terrorist attacks escalated dramatically. After the Oslo Accords, between 1994 and 2005, suicide bombings killed 735 Israelis and wounded 4,554, with attacks specifically targeting civilians on buses, in shopping centers, and in restaurants.
  • A Palestinian state supported by scores of Western countries sends a clear message to extremists worldwide: terror pays, and the more heinous the act, the greater the diplomatic reward. The moral obligation currently rests on the Western powers to demand a complete remaking of Palestinian society and its leadership. Otherwise, it will likely not differentiate itself from the majority of Arab dictatorships in terms of human rights abuses, corruption, and a lack of democracy.

    The writer is President of the Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs.

Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs
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