In-Depth Issues:
Iran's "Breakout Time" for Uranium Enrichment Has Shrunk to a Month ( Economist-UK)
Iran's uranium enrichment has advanced to the point that its "breakout time" - the time it would need to make a bomb's-worth of fissile material - has shrunk from a year to about a month.
Making a warhead to fit on a missile might take another 18-24 months.
The UN's International Atomic Energy Agency says its monitoring of Iran's activities is no longer "intact" because the regime is refusing to let it replace damaged cameras.
See also Iran Moving Closer to Enough Enriched Uranium for a Bomb - Yaakov Lappin ( Israel Hayom)
Iran has enriched more than 120 kg. of uranium to the 20% level, a major jump from 84 kg. a month earlier, the head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, Mohammad Eslami, announced on Oct. 10.
This quantity, if further enriched to 90%, is almost what is required to build a single nuclear bomb.
The fact that Iran is also openly enriching smaller quantities of uranium to 60% means Iran has essentially abandoned any pretense of a civilian cover for its nuclear program.
No non-nuclear states need to enrich uranium to 60%.
Israel, U.S. Step Up Direct Actions Against Iranian Drone Industry - Arie Egozi ( Breaking Defense)
As Iran and its proxies increasingly rely on unmanned systems to carry out attacks in the region, Israel and the U.S. are stepping up operations targeting the Iranian drone industry. "Now the actions will be more frequent and more aggressive," an Israeli defense source said.
A second Israeli defense source said new American sanctions against companies and individuals supporting unmanned systems for the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps came after Israel provided details of Iran's armed drone industry, including the names of people for Washington to sanction.
Israel to Launch Massive Aerial Reconnaissance Balloon - Anna Ahronheim ( Jerusalem Post)
Israel has begun inflation of an advanced surveillance balloon
to provide additional early warning capabilities against aerial threats, the Defense Ministry said.
The High Availability Aerostat System (HAAS), developed by the American company TCOM, is one of the largest in the world and is designed to carry an improved sensing system to provide early warnings of advanced threats.
Venezuela Hosts Palestinian Terrorist Cells - Damian Pachter ( Israel Hayom)
Venezuela hosts Palestinian terrorist cells involved in money laundering, drug dealing, and terrorist activity, the Venezuelan hacker group Team HDP has revealed, after breaking into the country's Directorate General of Military Counterintelligence.
One Palestinian cell belongs to Fatah's Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade, consisting of at least four men identified as "doctors."
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The New York Times Revises the English Language - Stephen M. Flatow ( JNS)
On Oct. 27, the New York Times reported that "the Israeli government advanced plans on Wednesday to build more than 3,000 new settlement units" in the West Bank.
These largely involved apartments within existing communities, but calling them "settlement units" conveys a much more sinister image that sounds more menacing.
It is a rhetorical trick and a rhetorical weapon to make Israel look bad when the facts alone won't accomplish that objective.
During the past three decades, the Israeli government has authorized exactly one new settlement in the West Bank. Since 1992, the only Jewish construction authorized in the territories by a succession of Israeli governments has been within existing communities.
The New York Times Sells a Comical Account of Israel - Gilead Ini ( CAMERA)
The 2021 World Happiness Report ranked Israel as the 12th happiest
country in the world out of 149. Polling by Israel's Central Bureau of Statistics found 88% of Israelis, including 76% of the country's Arab citizens, were satisfied with their lives.
But an Oct. 26 report in the New York Times found only "tensions," "inequities," "divisions," "unrest," "fury," "ambivalence," "illegitimacy," "alienation," "injustice," "discrimination," "bias," and "abuse."
Such reporting says a lot more about the ideological agenda of the Times than it does about Israel.
U.S.-Israel Conduct Bilateral Amphibious Exercise ( U.S. Naval Forces Central Command)
The Israel Defense Forces and U.S. Naval Forces Central Command began a bilateral, three-week amphibious exercise in Eilat, Israel, on Nov. 1.
The exercise includes military operations in urban terrain, infantry live-fire training, High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) live-fire and rapid maneuvering training, as well as professional exchanges on topics including engineering, medical and explosive ordinance disposal.
Participating U.S. forces include 500 personnel from the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit.
Israeli Protection System Installed on German Tanks - Danny Zaken ( Globes)
The German Federal Ministry of Defense has announced the successful completion of trials of Israel's Trophy tank protection system on Germany's Leopard 2 tanks.
During the trials, over 90% of attacks were intercepted while the location of the source of fire was accurately detected.
The Trophy system has also been sold to the U.S. Army and is installed on Abrams tanks.
Israeli Startups Raised Record $3 Billion in October ( Globes)
Israeli startups raised a record $3 billion in October 2021.
Israeli tech companies have raised $20.8 billion in the first ten months of 2021, more than double the record $10 billion raised in all of 2020, which was itself a record.
France Opens Museum Dedicated to Dreyfus Affair - Cnaan Liphshiz ( JTA)
A museum dedicated to the wrongful and anti-Semitic persecution of French army captain Alfred Dreyfus was inaugurated by President Emmanuel Macron
last week in the Paris suburb of Medan.
In 1906, Dreyfus was exonerated from trumped-up espionage charges and convictions after an 8-year ordeal. The renowned non-Jewish French writer Emile Zola had a key role in leading opposition and protests against the injustice done to Dreyfus, and Zola lived in the building where the institution is housed.
Theodor Herzl, who many view as the father of modern secular Zionism, covered the trial as a journalist and later described it as a watershed moment in his ideological development from an assimilationist Jew into a Zionist.
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News Resources - North America, Europe, and Asia:
- Iran Seizes Vietnamese Oil Tanker in Gulf of Oman - Jon Gambrell
Iranian Revolutionary Guard troops seized the Vietnamese-flagged oil tanker MV Southys at gunpoint in the Gulf of Oman on Oct. 24, two U.S. officials said. U.S. forces monitored the seizure but took no action as the vessel sailed into Iranian waters. Iran celebrated its capture of the vessel in dramatic footage aired on state television showing Iranian commandos rappelling onto the boat from a helicopter as small speedboats surrounded the vessel. Iran claimed that the U.S. Navy had detained the tanker carrying Iranian oil and the Guard had freed it.
"It's a bogus claim," said Pentagon press secretary John Kirby. "The only seizing that was done was by Iran," in "a blatant violation of international law that undermines freedom of navigation." U.S. officials said Wednesday that information on the seizure had yet to be made public amid ongoing attempts to restart talks with Iran over the 2015 nuclear deal. Indirect talks are to resume Nov. 29 in Vienna.
(AP-Washington Post)
- Iran Marks Anniversary of U.S. Embassy Seizure with Chants of "Death to America," "Death to Israel" - Amir Vahdat
Thousands of Iranians gathered on Tehran streets Thursday for the government-organized commemoration of the anniversary of the 1979 seizure of the U.S. Embassy, chanting "Death to America" and "Death to Israel," and burning American and Israeli flags. A large American flag was spread on the street so protesters could stomp on it. State TV said that 800 cities across Iran staged demonstrations.
(AP)
- 200 House Republicans Sign Letter Opposing Jerusalem Consulate for Palestinians - Marc Rod
200 Republican members of Congress, including all members of the party's leadership, signed a letter to President Biden opposing the administration's plan to reopen the U.S. consulate in Jerusalem that served Palestinians. The letter argues that reopening the consulate "would be inconsistent" with the Jerusalem Embassy Act of 1995 that directed the president to move the U.S. embassy in Israel to Jerusalem and recognized Jerusalem as an "undivided city" and the capital of Israel.
The letter added, "The U.S. consulate general in Jerusalem that was established in 1844 was not intended to serve as an outreach to the Palestinians in Israel's capital." (Jewish Insider)
See also Democrats to Call on Biden Not to Open Palestinian Consulate in Jerusalem - Ariel Kahana (Israel Hayom)
- In Gaza, Hamas Only Takes Care of Its Own - Patrick Kingsley
Wasfi al-Garosha, 29, an unemployed plasterer, has lost count of how many times he has been jailed in Gaza City because he is unable to repay a loan he took in 2019 to pay for his wedding. In the first nine months of 2021, the Gaza City police issued 448 arrest warrants for indebted bridegrooms.
On his way to a three-week jail term, he passed a monument commemorating a Hamas attack on Israeli soldiers - a giant fist punching its way through an Israeli armored vehicle - and then passed under a huge banner honoring Hamas. He respected Hamas' military campaigns against Israel, he said, but in his view, the group funnels money, jobs and social support to its members, leaving people like him to fend for themselves.
(New York Times)
News Resources - Israel and the Mideast:
- The Palestinian Authority: President Biden's Promises Are a Mirage - Yoni Ben Menachem
PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas is working to renew the involvement of the "Quartet" to convene an international peace conference with the help of Russia, despite the objections of the Biden administration.
Senior PA officials accuse the U.S. administration of failing to live up to its promises to the PA, especially the opening of a consulate for the Palestinians in Jerusalem.
The Biden administration is totally preoccupied with China, Covid-19, and the U.S. economy. It wants to continue managing the Israeli-Palestinian conflict without unexpected tremors and without the PA collapsing.
The writer, a veteran Arab affairs and diplomatic commentator, is a senior Middle East analyst for the Jerusalem Center.
(Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs)
- Palestinian from Gaza Arrested for Arson Attacks in Israeli City - Judah Ari Gross
Suleiman Kassab, 29, from Gaza, was arrested on Oct. 12 and charged with committing arson attacks in the Israeli city of Ramle, the Israel Security Agency said Monday.
On Sep. 30 he set fire to a number of ceremonial booths set up for the Jewish festival of Sukkot and on Oct. 4 he set fire to a bus. He first entered Israel in January 2020 in order to visit his ailing mother, who was receiving medical care in the West Bank. (Times of Israel)
- Coronavirus in Israel: Decline Continues
Active coronavirus cases totaled 6,952, including 605 new cases identified on Wednesday and 185 people in serious condition, the Israel Ministry of Health reported Thursday.
(Israel Ministry of Health)
- Explosives-Filled Syrian Bunker from 1967 War Uncovered in Golan Heights - Judah Ari Gross
Israel's National Mine Action Authority on Tuesday uncovered a Syrian military bunker full of explosives at Mitzpe Gadot on the Golan Heights, the Defense Ministry said. During mine-clearing work, "a bunker was discovered, full of hundreds of pieces of ordnance, including mortar shells of different calibers, flares, pyrotechnic munitions, explosives, hunting rifle ammunition and others inside their original packages." Israel has been clearing the area as part of an effort to open more parts of the Golan to hikers and tourists. Thousands of mines are still buried in the area.
(Times of Israel)
Global Commentary and Think-Tank Analysis:
Iran
- Israel's Ability to Attack Iran Is Vital - Maj.-Gen. (ret.) Giora Eiland
In the last decade, Iran has been the source of 80% of Israel's security problems.
A decade ago, Israel reached the ability to carry out an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities but avoided launching such a strike.
In 2021, Israel must be prepared for at least two scenarios that Iran is capable of producing. The first scenario is a direct attack on Israel with cruise missiles and armed drones operated by Iran or militias under its rule, like the attack carried out two years ago against the Saudi oil infrastructure. Even though Israel has better defensive capabilities than Saudi Arabia, such an attack would likely require an Israeli retaliation on Iran's soil. The second scenario involves Israel attacking Iran's nuclear facilities if the Iranian regime begins accelerating toward a nuclear bomb.
The importance of the ability to perform such an attack is great in order to show the international community that the threat of an Israeli strike is real. As a result, they might try harder to reach an agreement that will keep Israel safe, or harden the sanctions against the Islamic Republic or even prepare their own military options. One of the reasons Iran allows itself to be so brazen with the U.S. is the fact that Washington has not yet proven that it also has a credible military option.
The writer is a former head of Israel's National Security Council.
(Ynet News)
- Dealing with an Intransigent Iran - Lt.-Col. (ret.) Yochai Guiski
Iran has shown it is willing to go to great lengths and endure economic and humanitarian hardships (sanctions and rampant Covid-19) in order to avoid making concessions in the nuclear realm. Iran has also doubled down on its regional activities targeting various countries with missiles, drones and cyber attacks while providing its militia proxies with advanced weapons and financial aid.
But Iran is not invincible, and its rise is not preordained; its resiliency is suspect. Showing Iran an unyielding and united front that is willing to act against aggression, while offering it a diplomatic solution (backed by China and Russia) to truly address its nuclear program, is still the best option.
The writer, an expert at the MirYam Institute, served in Coordination of Government Activities in the Territories (COGAT), the Strategic Planning Division, and the Ministry of Defense.
(JNS)
- We Were Right to Oppose the Iran Deal - Barry Shrage
In 2015, CJP, the Jewish Federation of Greater Boston, which I then headed, became the first U.S. Federation to oppose the Iran nuclear deal. We believed that rather than ending Iran's nuclear ambitions, it merely delayed them. The deal greatly increased Iran's resources and we believed that this would fuel Iran's longstanding aggression towards Israel, the U.S., and our allies through its funding of terror organizations worldwide. Tragically, we were right.
Additional resources enabled Iran to decimate political opponents, support Assad's murderous regime in Syria killing hundreds of thousands and arm Hizbullah with precision-guided missiles aimed at Israel. Sadly, the Biden administration seems now to be seeking to revive the failed JCPOA deal, even after the election of President Ebrahim Raisi, the most radically anti-Western Iranian leader to date.
It gives me no pleasure to know that we were right to oppose the deal in 2015. I wish we had been wrong. I wish that America's ardent pursuit of a deal had led to a kinder, gentler Iranian regime, as many predicted. The American Jewish community has a great deal at stake in this fight. The Abraham Accords have opened up new opportunities for regional peace - opportunities that unchecked Iranian aggression will destroy. We cannot afford to be MIA in this crucial debate.
The writer, president of the Combined Jewish Philanthropies of Greater Boston from 1987 to 2017, is a professor at the Center for Modern Jewish Studies at Brandeis University.
(JNS)
Palestinians
- Israel Cannot Allow Terrorism Financing under Guise of Humanitarian Aid
Israel's Ambassador to the UN Gilad Erdan on Monday wrote to UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres that Israel designated six Palestinian organizations as terrorist entities because, through money laundering and other tactics, they provided a lifeline for the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, designated a terrorist organization by the U.S. and the EU.
While they raised funds from foreign donors by disguising themselves as human rights and civil society organizations, they employed and provided regular salaries to individuals who openly declared being PFLP operatives and allowed the PFLP to use their facilities as safe-havens.
"Therefore, while Israel attaches value to the work of Palestinian civil society organizations, it cannot allow the financing of terrorism under the pretense of humanitarian and civil assistance....Israel acts against terror, and its channels of funding, in order to protect its citizens and society, as it is obligated to do."
"Israel expects the international community to condemn this dangerous abuse of civil society organizations and calls upon all United Nations member states, in accordance with their obligations to prevent terrorism, money laundering and terrorist financing, to immediately halt any further transfers of funds and any other support to these designated institutions." (JNS-Israel Hayom)
- Israel's Designation of Six Terrorism-Linked NGOs Was in Full Accordance with International Law - Lea Bilke and Amb. Alan Baker
Israel's designation of six Palestinian NGOs as terror organizations was in full accordance with international law. Israel focused on their connection and active support to the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP) terror group, which clearly outweighs activities ostensibly carried out by such organizations as a cover for their terrorist activity.
The linkage between the organizations and the PFLP renders them as eligible for criminalization in accordance with provisions of the relevant UN Conventions and Resolutions. Israel, therefore, is fully justified in designating these NGOs as terror groups and, as such, in protecting itself against prevailing threats to peace and security.
Lea Bilke is a law student at the Free University of Berlin in Germany. Amb. Alan Baker, former legal counsel to Israel's foreign ministry, heads the international law program at the Jerusalem Center.
(Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs)
- "From the River to the Sea": Hamas Explains What British Students Want - Col. Richard Kemp
When I arrived at the University of Essex in the UK to give a talk last week, I was met by protesters chanting: "Free, free Palestine - from the river to the sea." What river? What sea? I doubt many of them knew. But they were demanding an end to the Jewish national homeland - tearing down the State of Israel and replacing it with an Islamic state.
As Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar explained at a recent conference in Gaza: "The full liberation of Palestine from the sea to the river" is "the heart of Hamas' strategic vision." He meant from the River Jordan to the Mediterranean Sea, in other words, the entire territory of the State of Israel.
Those arguing that the Palestinian Authority has a different agenda from Hamas are wrong. The PA shares the same "river to the sea" doctrine for the destruction of Israel that British university students find so attractive. This is a constant theme in official PA media, publications and school textbooks.
In an era where opposition to racism and discrimination against all other peoples is rightly at the top of university authorities' and students' priorities, why does this not apply to Jews? Calls for the violent erasure of the one and only Jewish state are not only tolerated but are actively encouraged by some professors, faculty bodies and students union leaders.
The writer, a former commander of British forces in Afghanistan, was chairman of the UK's national crisis management committee, COBRA.
(Gatestone Institute)
- How the Palestinians Stole the Suffering of Just About Everyone - David Collier
The pro-Palestinian movement can steal any idea, make any accusation, and global anti-Semitism will do the rest. Because their fight is against the Jews, their empty smears all go viral. Basically, if there is a bad thing happening in the world, the pro-Palestinian movement stole the idea to use it against the Jews. These include the theft of Apartheid, the Holocaust, genocide, refugee suffering, ethnic cleansing, victims of colonialism, concentration camps, suffering freedom fighters, racism, and victims of fascism.
The pro-Palestinian camp accuses Israel of anything they can. But the truth is that Israel is a society that does its best to both defend itself and uphold the sanctity of life. The pro-Palestinian movement has invaded global human rights movements and corrupted them from within until all they can see is Israel as a demon state, and they are unable to talk about anything else happening in the world without first smearing Israel in the opening paragraph.
The irony is that Palestinians could be free tomorrow if only their leaders had the courage to choose peace - a luxury of choice not afforded to any of the world's truly innocent victims - all those voices that the suffocating Palestinian activism has silenced.
(Beyond the Great Divide)
Other Issues
- Lebanon Is Heading into an Abyss - Col. (ret.) Dr. Jacques Neriah
Bloody clashes occurred in Beirut on Oct. 14 after heavily armed Shiite forces of Amal and Hizbullah entered Christian neighborhoods and openly provoked and abused the residents. The Hizbullah/Amal protest could have reached their destination, the Palace of Justice, in a different and shorter route, avoiding the Christian areas. Seven members of Amal and Hizbullah were killed and more than 60 were wounded in a four-hour battle.
The gun battles momentarily eclipsed Lebanon's economic nightmare. Were it not for money transfers sent by the Lebanese diaspora (there are 15 million Lebanese abroad, compared to 3.5 million in Lebanon), the country would have collapsed. 40% of physicians and 30% of nurses have left the country. A quarter of Lebanon's population are refugees from Syria.
Following instructions from Tehran, Hizbullah leader Hassan Nasrallah is not eager to engage in a civil war in Lebanon, leaving his flanks in Syria and facing Israel open and vulnerable.
(Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs)
See also The Battle for Lebanon's Arab Identity - Col. (ret.) Dr. Jacques Neriah (Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs)
- A Technology Boom and Geopolitical Change Are Helping Israel Expand Its Horizons - Gideon Rachman
For decades, Israel's foes have predicted that the "Zionist entity" will be swept away. But during a recent visit, the mood of buoyant optimism among the country's political and business leaders was striking.
Israel has enjoyed more than a decade of rising prosperity and relative peace. Its per capita income is now higher than that of Britain. The country's booming tech industry boasts more than 70 start-up companies valued at $1 billion or more, which is about 10% of the global total. Venture capital is pouring into the country.
Most intoxicatingly of all, the Abraham Accords have normalized Israel's relations with the UAE and Bahrain and, more tepidly, Morocco and Sudan. Issawi Frej, an Arab-Israeli who is Israel's minister for regional co-operation, predicts that more countries will join the accords soon. It feels like every prominent Israeli has recently visited the UAE. They come back enthusing about the novelty of flying over Saudi airspace and the warmth of their reception in Dubai.
One senior Western diplomat in Israel says that 15 years ago diplomacy was "80% Palestine, 20% other things. Now it is 20% Palestine, 80% other things." Israel's technological prowess is key to changing its relationship with the outside world. As the diplomat puts it: "The world wants what Israel is selling."
Shifts in geopolitics are also working to Israel's benefit. The governments of China, India and Russia see Israel primarily as a tech partner and a geopolitical actor. In the Middle East, the shared fear of Iran, in Israel and the Gulf, underpinned the Abraham Accords. (Financial Times-UK)
Weekend Features
- New Miss South Africa Caught in Anti-Israel Crossfire - Nicola Miltz
Newly crowned Miss South Africa, Lalela Mswane, is looking forward to the Miss Universe pageant in Eilat in December, despite calls by Mandla Mandela, the grandson of former president Nelson Mandela, for her to boycott the pageant in Israel.
Former Miss Iraq, Sarah Idan, who is Muslim, criticized Mandela's calls in a video posted on social media. "How dare you, as a man, try to tell an organization for women and women empowerment what to do? This is an opportunity that millions of women dream of having, to go on the world stage and represent their people, their nation, and their culture...not your political agenda."
"To go and experience Israel up close...I'm positive, just like me, she will be shocked to see that the Israeli government consists of Muslims, Jews, Arabs, Christians....They're also part of the Knesset, have political parties, and some of them are even Israeli ambassadors to the world."
Reeva Forman of the South African Zionist Federation said, "Israel is a thriving multicultural democracy, and accusations that it's similar to the former South African government are beyond ridiculous. In fact, one of Israel's recent entrants to Miss Universe is a woman of Ethiopian descent." (South African Jewish Report)
See also UAE, Morocco to Take Part in Miss Universe in Israel - Anjuman Rahman (Middle East Monitor-UK)
- Secrets of the Cave of the Patriarchs in Hebron - Nadav Shragai
The Cave of the Patriarchs in Hebron is believed to be the biblical burial place that Abraham purchased from Ephron the Hittite, containing the tombs of Abraham and Sarah, Isaac and Rebecca, and Jacob and Leah. Muslims today prevent any access to the underground caverns below the structure built by King Herod, but a doctoral thesis by Dr. Noam Arnon reveals details of past visits to the caverns below the site.
A young British Jew, Jack Seklan, visited the site in 1933 and Arnon met him in 2012, when Seklan was 97, but still sound of mind and with a fantastic memory. Seklan described in detail how, accompanied by the British officer in charge of the site, he descended three flights of stairs into the subterranean hall deep underground. After passing through a door, recalls Arnon, "they descended another few steps and reached a barred window overlooking an underground hall...built out of natural rock....The Muslim guide explained to them that these were the graves of the forefathers themselves."
Arnon himself clandestinely went deep into the cave in 1981,
reaching a double cave that dated back to the time of the patriarchs. In 2014, the site was analyzed with ground-penetrating radar. "We didn't find a grave on which it was written 'Abraham is buried here,' but when you weigh all the historical and archaeological data, the writings of travelers, biblical sources, topography; all of that together shows us that this is indeed the case." (Israel Hayom)
Observations:
- Four Palestinian families, acting under pressure from the Palestinian Authority and Hamas, have refused to accept an extraordinary offer from Israel's Supreme Court which would have protected them from eviction from homes they do not own and for which they have refused to pay rent in the Sheikh Jarrah section of Jerusalem.
- The dispute has been dragging on in Israeli courts for decades. It only became a cause celebre after PA leader Mahmoud Abbas decided to go back on his promise to allow elections in the West Bank. As a way to divert Palestinian attention, he seized on the Sheikh Jarrah case. Hamas followed suit and one-upped Abbas with a massive rocket barrage in May to demonstrate that they were even more committed to fighting the Jews.
- The facts of the case are straightforward. The neighborhood - also known as Shimon HaTzadik after the nearby tomb of "Simeon the Just" - was founded in 1890 by Jews who bought the land. Its Jewish residents lived there until they were forced out of their homes by Jordanian forces during the 1948 War of Independence.
- The Palestinians are claiming "ethnic cleansing," which is ironic because the only reason Arabs are living in these homes is due to the fact that Jews themselves were ethnically cleansed from the neighborhood.
- The goal of the forces manipulating the Palestinian families is not coexistence or peace, but an endless cycle of violence and war that must end in Israel's destruction. American Jews should not be fooled into thinking support for the squatters will advance the cause of peace.
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