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Source: http://www.inss.org.il/research.php?cat=3&incat=&read=2191
The Latest IAEA Report on Iran and the Options Facing the International Community
[Institute for National Security Studies-Tel Aviv University] Ephraim Asculai - If all goes well for Iran, it would be able to amass a sufficient quantity of low-enriched uranium (LEU) to enable it to further enrich it and produce a quantity of military grade uranium by the turn of the decade, sufficient for the production of a single nuclear explosive device. There is very little chance that Iran would cease its nuclear development agenda and start serious negotiations unless strongly and effectively pressured. Without strong, painful sanctions Iran will continue its game of playing for time.